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GMAT考试写作指导:Argument范文五十

发布时间:2016-03-02  编辑:查字典英语网小编

  40. The author of this article argues that the country of Sacchar can best solve its

  current trade deficit problem by lowering the price of its main export, sugar. The line of

  reasoning is that this action would make Sacchar more competitive with other sugar-

  exporting countries, thereby increasing sales of Sacchars sugar abroad and, in turn,

  substantially reducing the trade-deficit. This line of reasoning is unconvincing for a

  couple of reasons.

  In the first place, this argument is based on an oversimplified analysis of the trade

  deficit problem Sacchar currently faces. A trade-deficit occurs when a country spends

  more on imports than it earns from exports. The authors argument relies on the

  assumption that earnings from imports will remain constant. However, the author

  provides no evidence that substantiates this assumption. It is possible that revenues from

  imports will increase dramatically in the near future; if so, the course of action proposed

  by the author might be unnecessary to solve Sacchars trade deficit problem. Conversely,

  it is possible that revenues from imports are likely to decrease dramatically in the near

  future. To the extent that this is the case, lowering sugar prices may have a negligible

  countervailing effect, depending on the demand for Sacchars sugar.

  In the second place, increasing sales by lowering the price of sugar will not yield

  an increase in income unless the increase in sales is sufficient to overcome the loss in

  income due to the lower price. This raises three questions the author fails to address.

  First, will a price decrease in fact stimulate demand? Second, is demand sufficient to

  meet the increase in supply? Third, can Sacchar increase the sugar production

  sufficiently to overcome the deficit? In the absence of answers to these questions, we

  cannot assess the authors proposal.

  In conclusion, the author provides an incomplete analysis of the problem and, as a

  result, provides a questionable solution. To better evaluate the proposal, we would need

  to know how revenues from imports are likely to change in the future. To strengthen the

  argument, the author must provide evidence that demand is sufficient to meet the

  proposed increase in supply, and that Sacchar has sufficient resources to accommodate

  

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