共和党目前排名第二的候选人克鲁兹宣布退选。这意味着特朗普将稳获提名。难道跋扈嚣张、口无遮拦、敌视女性、言论充满民粹色彩的特朗普真能当选美国总统?外媒撰文称,这并非没有可能。
Here are five reasons why Donald Trump could actually become president:
唐纳德·特朗普是否真能成为美国总统?以下列举5个理由:
“It’s the Economy, Stupid.”
“问题是经济,笨蛋!”
That’s a famous Carville dictum (from Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign). It could sum up Trump’s chances, too, given the well-documented stagnation of America’s middle class and the possibility of another economic slowdown.
这是一个卡维尔的名言(源自1992年比尔·克林顿竞选期间)。或许也能判断特朗普获胜的机率,众所周知,美国中产阶级萎缩,或将迎来另一轮经济下行。
Republican Weakness
共和党的问题
Some Republicans and conservative commentators are warning Republicans that they face a “Joe McCarthy Moment,” in which they must repudiate Trump or risk the wrath of history’s judgment.
部分共和党人与保守派评论员都警告党内人士,他们面临着“乔·麦卡锡时代”,因此,党内必须否决特朗普,否则将承担历史审判之痛。
But GOP leaders such as Chairman Reince Priebus are more interested in immediate peace than their place in history, and amenable characters such as former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman have said that nominating Trump is no big deal.
但是比起历史地位,像普里巴斯主席这样的共和党领导人则更在意眼下的和平,而跟前犹他州州长乔恩·亨茨曼(又名洪博培)一类的温和派曾表示,提名特朗普并无大碍。
Journalistic Weakness
资讯业的问题
It comes in two flavors. One is false equivalence. Reporters have yet to fully examine Trump’s record, especially the details of his business dealings and personal life, but soon enough his story will be yoked with and compared to Clinton’s, which will make it easier for Trump to slide by in the resulting din.
体现为两个方面。首先是“假对等”。记者并未对特朗普的个人历史进行全面调查,尤其是在商业运作以及个人生活的细节方面,却很快就将他的事迹与希拉里相提并论,轻易将特朗普置于舆论中心。
The second flavor is the media’s hunger for an audience. The closer Trump gets to the White House, the more frightening he becomes, the more desperate his enemies become – the more eyeballs are focused on smartphones and TV sets.
第二个方面则是,媒体渴望获得更大的关注度。特朗普离白宫的距离越近,他就会愈加令人恐惧,他的对手也会因此感到更加绝望。如此一来,人们会更加关注智能手机和电视上的最新报道。
That means more billions in “free” media for Trump.
这意味着,媒体会报道几十亿条有关特朗普的消息,相当于免费给特朗普做宣传。
Hillary the “Incumbent.”
希拉里任现任国务卿
As much as Clinton talks about new ideas and a fresh start, she will be attempting the difficult task of holding the White House for the same party for a third-straight term. That last happened in 1988.
希拉里讲述了许多有关美国的新想法和新开端,因此,她将试图担当重任,代表民主党连任三期总统,上一次同党派连任发生在1988年。
More important, Clinton and her husband represent a force in the Democratic Party that is a kind of incumbency within an incumbency, and that is a perilous place to be at a time when voters so despise Washington.
更重要的是,希拉里和她的丈夫代表着民主党的强大势力,民主党派是美国两大主要政党之一。而选民强烈鄙视华盛顿的情况,对希拉里极为不利。
The Numbers
赢得大量选票
Shockingly – given his outrageous, race-baiting and even violence-tinged rhetoric – Trump is not that far behind in the horse race as the “fall” campaign informally begins.
尽管特朗普性格蛮横,有种族偏见,甚至还常常发表暴力言论,但是令人震惊的是,特朗普并没有在“秋季”非正式总统竞选中落后选票。
With the possible exception of Arizona, there are few, if any, red states that he would likely lose. There are also at least five large blue states in which he could compete. Together, they represent more than enough electoral votes to send Trump to the White House.
可能除美国亚利桑那州以外,特朗普在红色州(选民倾向于投票给共和党的州)失去选票的几率很小。同时,特朗普至少可以在五个蓝色大州(选民倾向于投票给民主党的州)获得大量选票。将红色州和蓝色州获得的选票相加,特朗普获得的选票足以让他问鼎白宫。
克鲁兹宣布退选视频:
Vocabulary
dictum: 格言
repudiate: 拒绝接受
amenable: 肯接受的
yoke: 结合;联系
做三明治的过程
中考英语考前必备--议论文写作模板
一次空中旅行(A Flight)
篮球是我的最爱(Basketball is My Favorite)
未来的生活(Life in the future)
我最喜欢的人(My Favourite Person)
中考英语辅导:我的一个朋友(AFriendofMine)
画蛇添足(Add Feet)
你的周末生活
散步(Walking)
老师,我要感谢你(I want to thank you,teacher)
编写一段题为“Giving a Gift”的对话
给予礼品(Giving a Gift)
保卫地球(Saving the Earth)
中考英语辅导:我的旅行(Mytrip)
我繁忙的学习生活(My busy study life)
中考英语辅导:我的星期天(MySunday)
自由与和平的象征(Represent of Freedom and Peace)
对班级群体活动的看法(Comment on class group activity)
中考英语辅导:我的喜好(MyHobby)
中考英语辅导:新鲜空气(FreshAir)
女性不如男性吗?(Are Women Inferior to Men?)
第一场雪(First Snow)
关于中学生饮食健康的
错误的教训(A lesson of my mistake)
传统的节日(Traditional festional)
永远长不大的小天使(Little Angels Forever grow up)
尊重家长的方案(Respecting Parents Programme)
中考英语辅导:我错了(IAmWrong)
寒假去哈尔滨旅游
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