2 Decision thinking is not unlike poker--- it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think and what you think they think you think. The mental process is similar. Naturally, this card game has often been of considerable interest to people who are, by any standards, good thinkers.
The great mathematician John von Neumann was one of the founders of game theory. In particular, he showed that all games of perfect information , games like chess where the players can t hide anything or play tricks; they don t win by chance, but by means of logic and skills. Then there are games of imperfect information , like poker, in which it is impossible to know in advance that one course of action is better than another.
One mistaken idea about business is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information. Quit the reverse. Business, politics, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. Business decisions are often made with many unknown and unknowable factors which would even puzzle best poker players. But few business people find it comfortable to admit that they are taking a chance, and many still prefer to believe that they are playing chess, not poker.
The subject discussed in this text is _____
a. the process of reaching decision
b. the difference between poker and chess
c. the secret of making good business plans
d. the value of information in winning games
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 grammar focus课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section a 2b音频素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》 period 1课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》section a 1a-2d课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》period 5课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 1《What’s the matter》课件2
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b 2b课本听力素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section a1课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b2课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》 period 5课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》words单词听力朗读素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》 period 3课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》 period 2课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section a 1b-1音频素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》period 1课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 1《What’s the matter》全单元精美课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》section a 2b课本听力素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》课件4
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section a 1b音频素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b 1c课本听力素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》section a 2a课本听力素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 1《What’s the matter》period 3课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b 3a-3b(含self check)课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》section b 1b课本听力素材(mp3)
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 3《Could you please clean your room》 period 4课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section b 1课件
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 10《I’ve had this bike for three years》课件2
2014人教新目标英语八下unit 2《I’ll help clean up the city parks》 section a 1b-3音频素材(mp3)
不限 |
英语教案 |
英语课件 |
英语试题 |
不限 |
不限 |
上册 |
下册 |
不限 |