本篇阅读材料伦敦暴乱与政府消减开支的实际联系选自《卫报》(原文标题:Fact. There is a link between cuts and riots 2011.8.16)。
When London stopped burning, the political debate about the causes of unrest began to heat up. At one end of the spectrum, Ken Livingstone blamed the governments cutbacks; at the other, David Cameron attributed the unrest to criminal behaviour, pure and simple. Many of the cuts announced by the coalition government havent been implemented yet; but it is also true that there is real deprivation in many parts of London, and local services have been cut in some areas already. So, where do sudden conflagrations such as those in London last week come from?
heat up (话题)升温
attributeto 把归因于
pure and simple 十足的;完全的
implement v. 实施;执行
conflagration n. 冲突;大火
A constructive way to approach such a complex question is to distinguish between the incidents that touch off unrest, and the underlying causes that make it more likely. When a petrol station burns down, you dont just want to know who dropped the cigarette; you want to know why all the combustible fumes escaped. Social unrest and instability is typically difficult to explain. In most years, nothing happens; then, suddenly, violence erupts. Academics have tried to understand which factors are involved in creating explosive social environments. According to work on US race riots by the economist Ed Glaeser, for example, ethnic heterogeneity in a neighbourhood increases the probability of unrest. So does unemployment. Poverty, on the other hand, seems to play a smaller role.
touch off 触发;引起
underlying adj. 潜在的;根本的
erupt v. 爆发;喷发
race riot 种族暴乱;种族冲突
In a recent study, we focused on the link between austerity measures and unrest. We analysed a large number of countries, over almost a century, to unearth some empirical regularities. In two studies, we analysed unrest in 28 European countries from 1919 to 2009, and in 11 Latin American countries since 1937. What we found is a clear and positive statistical association between expenditure cuts and the level of unrest.
austerity n. 紧缩
unearth v. 揭露;发掘
empirical regularity 经验规律性
expenditure cuts 支出削减
To construct our measure of unrest, we looked at five indicators: riots, anti-government demonstrations, general strikes, political assassinations, and attempted revolutions. In a typical year and country, there are about 1.5 incidents of this type. The more you cut, the more incidents you get. By the time austerity measures hit 3% or more, the number of incidents has doubled. Interestingly, for the UK, the pattern is even stronger: for every percentage point of cut-backs, instability surges by more than it does on average in the rest of the countries. Importantly, these effects are in addition to the well-known relationship between lower growth and higher instability.
riot 暴乱
anti-government demonstration 反政府游行
general strike 大型罢工
political assassination 政治暗杀
attempted revolution 未遂革命
in addition to 除之外
While the pattern holds throughout our sample, the relationship is not deterministic the chance of unrest goes up as governments retrench, but it is not guaranteed. Many incidents, such as police brutality, as in the case of Rodney King in LA, or the killing of Mark Duggan in London, can provide the spark that leads to a conflagration. One reason why times of austerity could create the right environment for massive unrest is, in our view, that cut-backs usually hit some parts of the society disproportionately more than others.
go up 增长;上升
retrench v. 减少;减缩开支
police brutality 警察暴力
Interestingly, tax increases do not have the same effect. While they are also associated with greater instability, the effect is small, and the link weak. This suggests that governments wanting to retrench, but worried about social instability, should consider tax increases, first and foremost.
be associated with 与有联系
social instability 社会动荡
first and foremost 首先;首要的是
These findings cast doubts on established wisdom. Until the sovereign debt crisis of 2010, the consensus among economists was unambiguous expenditure cuts can be growth-enhancing. Also, there was a widely accepted view that there is no penalty at the ballot box for cuts. Governments that implement huge austerity programmes are just as likely to win as the ones doing nothing. While recent research by the IMF casts some doubt on the economic benefits, our results question the political economy side of the story cuts may not imperil re-election, but they create the risk of major social and political instability.
sovereign debt crisis 主权债务危机
unambiguous adj. 不含糊的;清楚的
imperil v. 危及;使陷入危险
Nobody knows where and when social unrest is going to happen again, nor the scale it will take. However, history suggests we should not underestimate the consequences of social chaos. Germans to the present day remember Heinrich Brning, known as the hunger chancellor, who led the country from 1929 to 1932. He presided over an unprecedented austerity programme. At the same time, the Weimar Republic, Germanys first attempt at democracy, disintegrated amid a wave of social unrest and political violence.
to the present day 到目前
preside over 主持;负责
disintegrate 使崩溃;使衰变
Question time:
1. Please find out the words that mean unrest in the passage.
2. Whats the established wisdom in Para. 7?
【参考答案】
1. instability, riot, conflagration, chaos.
2. Economists was unambiguous that expenditure cuts can be growth-enhancing. Also, there was a widely accepted view that there is no penalty at the ballot box for cuts.
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三阶段仿真检测:Unit2 Word版含解析
黑龙江省哈尔滨市第九中学2017-2017学年高一上学期期中考试英语试题
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(2)Unit1 Word版含解析
体坛英语资讯:Brazilian clubs eye PSG winger Lucas Moura
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(10)Unit 5 Word版含解析
国际英语资讯:National parliaments of EU to combat terrorism together: EP president
江西省宜春市上高二中2017-2017学年高一上学期期中考试 英语 Word版含答案
浙江省衢州一中2017-2017学年高一上学期期中考试英语试题(无答案)
山东省日照一中2017-2017学年高一上学期期中模块笔试(学段调研)英语 Word版含答案 缺第二卷
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(1)Unit1 Word版含解析
川普再次致电中日领导人讨论朝鲜问题
国际英语资讯:Lawyer for United Airlines passenger signals law suit against airline
和牙渍说拜拜:首款无色咖啡面世
体坛英语资讯:Nadal closer to 10th Monte-Carlo title
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三阶段仿真检测:Unit3 Word版含解析
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三阶段仿真检测:Unit5 Word版含解析
天津市静海县第四中学2017-2017学年高一10月月考英语试题 Word版无答案
河南省周口市中英文学校2017-2017学年高一上学期第三次月考英语试题
国际英语资讯:Spotlight: Countries turn to cement cultural, economic ties as Ancient Civilization Forum op
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(3)Unit 2 Word版含解析
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(6)Unit 3 Word版含解析
体坛英语资讯:Fu, Selby reach quarterfinals at snooker worlds
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三阶段仿真检测:Unit1 Word版含解析
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(9)Unit 5 Word版含解析
河北省保定市高阳中学2017-2017学年高一上学期第十三次周练英语试题
国际英语资讯:Armenia marks 102th anniversary of mass killings by Ottoman Empire
国际英语资讯:Afghan president meets visiting U.S. defense secretary
2017-2017学年高一英语人教版必修三课时跟踪检测(8)Unit 4 Word版含解析
Planet Earth 2 desert(行星地球2沙漠伴剧)
新疆兵团建工师第四中学2017-2017学年高一上学期期中考试英语试题(无答案)
| 不限 |
| 英语教案 |
| 英语课件 |
| 英语试题 |
| 不限 |
| 不限 |
| 上册 |
| 下册 |
| 不限 |