2 Decision thinking is not unlike poker--- it often matters not only what you think, but also what others think you think and what you think they think you think. The mental process is similar. Naturally, this card game has often been of considerable interest to people who are, by any standards, good thinkers.
The great mathematician John von Neumann was one of the founders of game theory. In particular, he showed that all games of perfect information , games like chess where the players can t hide anything or play tricks; they don t win by chance, but by means of logic and skills. Then there are games of imperfect information , like poker, in which it is impossible to know in advance that one course of action is better than another.
One mistaken idea about business is that it can be treated as a game of perfect information. Quit the reverse. Business, politics, life itself are games which we must normally play with very imperfect information. Business decisions are often made with many unknown and unknowable factors which would even puzzle best poker players. But few business people find it comfortable to admit that they are taking a chance, and many still prefer to believe that they are playing chess, not poker.
The subject discussed in this text is _____
a. the process of reaching decision
b. the difference between poker and chess
c. the secret of making good business plans
d. the value of information in winning games
最鼓舞人心的名言
我是自带杀气的猫 愚蠢的人类不准靠近我!
研究:厨房越乱,吃得越多
27个问题助你找到人生激情
中国人和美国人之间的误解
穿衣露肉已经out啦!含蓄穿搭更显性感!
一张图告诉你:各国人过早死 罪魁祸首是?
深度剖析五大睡姿利弊 你属于哪一种?
囧发现:为啥siri等电子设备指令声都是女人?
这只汪乱入马拉松就算了 居然还拿了名次!
老外说:单词这样背1分钟牢记1个!
抵御寒潮 12个取暖小诀窍来帮你
功夫熊猫3背后的故事,你知道嘛?
人类牙齿有望像鲨鱼牙齿一样可以再生
如何用形状来推测你的容忍度
瑞士每周又要白发4千块!土豪国你还缺人吗
囧研究:灵魂伴侣真的存在吗?
安徽女生可放姨妈假!外国女同胞羡慕哭了!
这网红不要太励志啊!200斤胖妞减肥成功后
中国人赴日抢购纸尿裤
名家建议:10个永不过时的写作技巧
让你每天精力充沛的十大方法
听说常化妆的人才懂这19个词汇 你get了么
把喵星人当萌宠这事 中国人在5千年前就做了
BBC安乐死纪录片:死亡倒数 震撼百万观众
压力山大怎么办?你要这么想就对了
测一测:你的语法拼得过7岁孩子吗?
脸书CEO携妻女拜年:中文比老婆还棒!
苹果手机销量首次下滑
最适合练口语的5部脱口秀
| 不限 |
| 英语教案 |
| 英语课件 |
| 英语试题 |
| 不限 |
| 不限 |
| 上册 |
| 下册 |
| 不限 |