106. The following appeared in a memo to the Saluda town council from the towns business manager.
Research indicates that those who exercise regularly are hospitalized less than half as often as those who dont exercise. By providing a well-equipped gym for Saludas municipal employees, we should be able to reduce the cost of our group health insurance coverage by approximately 50% and thereby achieve a balanced town budget.
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
In this memo Saludas business manager recommends that the town provide a gym for its employees as a means of balancing the towns budget. The manager reasons that since studies show that people who exercise regularly are hospitalized less than half as often than those who dont exercise, Saluda could save approximately 50% on the cost of its group health insurance coverage by providing its employees with a well-equipped gym. The savings on insurance would balance the towns budget. The managers argument is unconvincing because it rests on several unsupported and dubious assumptions.
First, the manager assumes that Saludas employees will exercise regularly if a well-equipped facility is provided for them. This assumption is questionable since the mere fact that a gym is made available for employee use is no guarantee that they will avail themselves of it at all, let alone on a regular basis.
Second, the manager assumes that Saludas employees do not exercise regularly. Once again, the manager offers no support for this crucial assumption. Obviously, if all of Saudas employees already engage in daily exercise, the hospitalization rate will be unaffected by equipping an exercise facility and no savings will be realized on the group health insurance.
Third, the manager assumes that there is a direct relation between the hospitalization rate for employees and the cost of their group health insurance such that a reduction in the hospitalization rate will result in a corresponding reduction in the cost of insurance. While this may turn out to be true, the manager has failed to offer any evidence for this claim.
Finally, the manager assumes that the cost of building a well-equipped exercise facility will not negate the savings realized on the group health insurance. Until evidence has been provided to show that this is not the case, the managers plan is unacceptable.
In conclusion, the business managers proposal to provide an exercise facility as a means of balancing Saludas budget is not convincing. To strengthen the argument, evidence would have to be provided for each of the assumptions listed in the previous analysis.
巧“捞”菜刀
游牡丹园
放风筝
我是学校小导游
第一场大雪
日记一则
我为自己感到骄傲
妈妈的爱
记一次难忘的拔河比赛
吃西瓜
The Advantages of Second Child 二胎的好处
卷笔刀
Protecting Local Culture 保护本土文化
丰收的秋天
Miranda Kerr’s Engaged 米兰达可儿订婚啦
我学会了转呼啦圈
蚯蚓真有趣
春天
“六一”儿童节
我最喜欢的一个人
闪光的蝴蝶结
疫情期间戴着口罩做运动?那可能很危险!
春雨
小白狗的故事
小鱼和小河
妈妈的爱
这种愉快只有我知道
忽然,我们都唱起歌儿
帮妈妈想办法
The Communication Barrier Between Parents and Children 父母和孩子间的沟通障碍
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