GMAT考试写作指导：Argument范文十六

　　76. In this argument the author reasons that a sequel to a popular movie will be

　　profitable because the original movie was profitable and because books based on the

　　characters of the movie are consistently bestsellers. This argument is unconvincing for

　　several reasons.

　　In the first place, a great deal of empirical evidence shows that sequels are often

　　not as profitable as the original movie. For example, none of the Superman movie

　　sequels even approached the success of the original movie. Accordingly, the mere fact

　　that the first movie was successful does not guarantee that movies based upon it will

　　also be profitable.

　　In the second place, a movies financial success is a function of many elements in

　　addition to well-liked characters. Admittedly, the fact that the books based on the

　　characters of the original film are bestsellers bodes well for the movies commercial

　　prospects. However, unless the original cast and production team are involved in

　　making the sequel, there is a good chance it will not be financially successful.

　　Finally, another important element in creating a successful movie is the script. The

　　transformation of a popular book into a popular movie script is a difficult process.

　　Examples of best-selling books that were not made into successful movies are

　　commonplace. Obviously, the success of the sequel that Vista is planning will depend in

　　great part on the screenwriters ability to capture the elements of the story that make the

　　books popular. Since the difficulties inherent in this process make it hard to predict

　　whether the result will be a success or a failure, the conclusion that the sequel will be

　　profitable is presumptuous.

　　In conclusion this is an unconvincing argument. To strengthen the argument, it

　　would be necessary to provide assurances that the original cast and production team will

　　be involved in the project and that the script will capture and develop the particular

　　elements responsible for the books popularity.