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In this argument prudent investors are advised to stop investing in hotels and invest instead in hospitals and nursing homes. The author cites two related trendsan aging population and a decline in hotel occupancyas grounds for this advice. To illustrate these trends, the author refers to another region of the country, where 20 percent of the population is over 65 years old and where occupancy rates in resort hotels have declined significantly during the past six months. This argument is unconvincing in a couple of important respects.
In the first place, the author provides no evidence to support the claim that the population as a whole is aging and thatthe hotel occupancy rate in general is declining. The example cited, while suggestive of these trends, is insufficient to warrant their truth because there is no reason to believe that data drawn from this unnamed region is representative of the entire country. For example, if the region from which the data was gathered was Florida, it would clearly be unrepresentative. The reason for this is obvious. Florida is populated by a disproportionate number of retired people over 65 years old and is a very popular vacation destination during the winter months. Moreover, resort hotel occupancy in Florida typically declines significantly during the summer months.
In the second place, the author has provided no evidence to support the claim that the decline in hotel occupancy is related to the aging of the population. The author appears to believe that the decrease in occupancy rates at resort hotels is somehow caused by the increase in the number of people over age 65. However, the example cited by the author establishes only that these two trends are correlated; it does not establish that the decline in hotel occupancy is due to an increase in the number of people over the age of 65.
In conclusion, the authors investment advice is not based on sound reasoning. To strengthen the conclusion, the author must show that the trends were not restricted to a particular region of the country. The author must also show that the cause of the decline in hotel occupancy is the increase in the number of people over 65.
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GRE Issue高频提纲之学习类(一)
GRE Issue高频提纲之学习类(二)
新GRE写作名人素材库:哥白尼
GRE Issue高频提纲之政治类(四)
GRE Issue高频提纲之政治类(三)
新GRE作文新题库解析-issue128
新GRE写作名人素材库:爱因斯坦
GRE Issue高频提纲之政治类(一)
GRE作文资料:环保
新GRE写作:权威问题
新GRE写作:教育的目的
GRE写作新题库:argument 21
GRE写作新题库:argument 22
新GRE写作名人素材库:哥伦布
新GRE写作名人素材库:普金
GRE作文资料:选择的自由性
GRE作文资料:智力
GRE作文资料:伦理道德
新GRE写作:忠诚
GRE写作素材:关于人品的名言
GRE写作新题库:argument 19
GRE作文资料:分析方式
GRE Issue高频提纲之政治类(七)
GRE作文资料:法律
GRE写作新题库:argument 27
GRE写作新题库:argument 20
GRE Issue高频提纲之政治类(六)
GRE写作新题库:argument 26
GRE写作模板:文章五部分要点全掌握
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