BEIJING, May 3 -- A senior Chinese diplomat has predicted three possible endings of the Korean nuclear issue and suggested the resumption of talks as the way out.
Fu Ying, chairperson of the Foreign Affairs Committee of the National People's Congress, made the prediction in a paper published on Brookings Institution's website on Sunday.
The first possibility is: The vicious cycle of U.S. and UN sanctions followed by nuclear and missile tests of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK) goes on until reaching a tipping point.
Fu, who was director-general of the Chinese Foreign Ministry's Department of Asian Affairs and was involved in the multilateral talks on the Korean nuclear issue, noted that the vicious cycle is difficult to break because the DPRK is determined to possess nuclear capabilities for its own security, while the United States is unwilling to make any compromise and is also using the tension to enhance military presence in the region.
The second possibility is: The DPRK regime collapses. This may not be realistic, as the Korean economy has already passed through its most difficult time and top leader Kim Jong Un has already stabilized the domestic situation.
Then comes the third possibility: the restart of talks and serious negotiations. This scenario is getting harder with deeper mistrust between the United States and the DPRK and undermined confidence of parties due to many setbacks in multilateral negotiations.
Fu suggested one realistic starting point: "double suspension," which requires the DPRK to suspend its missile and nuclear activities in exchange for a suspension of the large-scale U.S.-South Korean war games. It's a concept explained by Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi in March this year.
In the paper, Fu had a thorough review of the history of the Korean nuclear issue. She noted that the two Koreas are still technically at war is one of the root causes of prolonged instability on the Korean Peninsula.
Since multilateral negotiations started in 2003, China has continuously made mediation efforts to push for fruitful agreements, including a statement reached on the fourth round of the six-party talks in 2005, which offered a glimmer of hope for resolving the issue.
However, such peaceful agreements were not effectively implemented for various reasons, and in this case, the agreement was compromised by U.S. financial sanctions against the DPRK.
Fu noted that failing to implement such agreements in "parallel steps" led to a dead end. In 2008, even though the DPRK honored its commitments and disabled 75 percent of its nuclear reactor capacity, it didn't see corresponding measures being taken by other parties as heavy oil, equipment and material assistance had not been supplied as promised. Then the DPRK reversed its position.
Fu also highlighted the influence of the U.S. domestic political situation on the Korean nuclear issue, citing different positions held by previous presidents.
The Korean nuclear issue has been escalated and intensified as from 2009 as a result of multiple factors, including the civil strife in Libya, where the fate of the government to some degree reinforced the DPRK's determination to pursue nuclear weapons.
体坛英语资讯:Flamengo announces Silas as new head coach
体坛英语资讯:Sixteen injured in Champions League qualifier Zilina-Sparta clash
体坛英语资讯:Sevilla cruises to easy win on first day of Spanish Primera Liga
体坛英语资讯:Ronaldo returns to aid Corinthians to 2-1 victory
体坛英语资讯:Tiger Woods: affairs, divorce bring distraction to play
体坛英语资讯:Atletico edge Inter 2-0 to win Super Cup
体坛英语资讯:Three NBA players suspended for unruly conduct
体坛英语资讯:Chinese women on top at Military Pentathlon Worlds
体坛英语资讯:Rossi denies wanting to return to Italy
体坛英语资讯:Guardiola delighted with Mascherano capture
体坛英语资讯:Rossi looking for Italian return
体坛英语资讯:South Koreas Kim wins mens 81kg at judo world championships
体坛英语资讯:Serbia defeats Spain to proceed to semi-finals
体坛英语资讯:Chinese team says getting better at basketball worlds
体坛英语资讯:Imanol Evriti wins stage 10 of Tour of Spain as overall leadership changes hands
体坛英语资讯:Chinas Wang Lin takes womens singles title at badminton worlds
体坛英语资讯:Jankovic survives scare to struggle past Halep
体坛英语资讯:Gilbert wins third stage to take leadership of Spain cycling
体坛英语资讯:Djokovic into US Open semis for four successive years
体坛英语资讯:Barcelona and Real Madrid look for maximum points in Spains matchday two
体坛英语资讯:Iran enjoys first victory in basketball championships
体坛英语资讯:Real Madrid and Manchester United lead sales of replica shirts
体坛英语资讯:Murray eases into second round in nudging 100 degrees
体坛英语资讯:Gade, Hidayat escape early exit at badminton worlds
体坛英语资讯:Ronaldo refutes criticisms of being fat
体坛英语资讯:Ronaldo set to return to field
体坛英语资讯:US basketball team defeat Croatia 106-78
体坛英语资讯:Wawrinka extinguishes Americas last hope into US Open quarters
体坛英语资讯:Australian swimmer banned competition for three months
体坛英语资讯:Gay runs 9.79 to win mens 100m at Diamond League finals