When a magazine for high-school students asked its readers what life would be like in twenty years, they said: Machines would be run by solar power. Buildings would rotate so they could follow the sun to take maximum advantage of its light and heat Walls would radiate light and change color with the push of a button. Food would be replaced by pills. School would be taught by electrical impulse while we sleep. Cars would have radar. Does this sound like the year 2000? Actually, the article was written in 1958 and the question was, what will life be like in 1978?
The future is much too important to simply guess about, the way the high school students did, so experts are regularly asked to predict accurately. By carefully studying the present, skilled businessmen, scientists, and politicians are supposedly able to figure out in advance what will happen. But can they? One expert on cities wrote: Cities of the future would not be crowded, but would have space for farms and fields. People would travel to work in airbuses, large all-weather helicopters carrying up to 200 passengers. When a person left the airbus station he could drive a coin-operated car equipped with radar. The radar equipment of cars would make traffic accidents almost unheard of. Does that sound familiar? If the expert had been accurate it would, because he was writing in 1957. His subject was The city of 1982.
If the professionals sometimes sound like high-school students, its probably because future study is still a new field. But economic forecasting, or predicting what the economy will do, has been around for a long time. It should be accurate, and generally it is. But there have been some big market in the field, too. In early 1929, most forecasters saw an excellent future for the stock market. In October of that year, the stock market had its worst losses ever, ruining thousands of investors who had put their faith in financial foreseers.
One forecaster knew that predictions about the future would always be subject to significant error. In 1957, H.J.Rand of the Rad corporation was asked about the year 2000, Only one thing is certain, he answered. Children born today will have reached the age of 43.
1. The high-school students answers to What would life be like in 1978? sound
A) accurate.
B) imaginative.
C) correct.
D) foolish.
2. According to the writer, forecasting is fairly accurate in
A) politics.
B) science.
C) sociology.
D) economy.
3. Which of the following statements is not compatible with the writers comment on future study?
A) Predictions should be accurate
B) Professional sometimes sound like high-school students
C) There have been some big mistakes in the field of economic forecasting.
D) Predictions about future would always be subject to significant errors.
4. The passage Looking to the Future was most probably written
A) in 1982
B) in 1958
C) after 1958
D) in 1957
5. H.J.Rands prediction about the year 2000 shows that
A) it is easy to figure out in advance what will happen
B) it is difficult to figure out in advance what will happen
C) only professionals can figure out in advance what will happen
D) very few professionals figure out in advance what will happen
答案: BDACB
巴基斯坦10年内可能成为第三核武大国
2015高三英语暑假作业测试卷
探究中国互联网公司的程序员鼓励师
2015深圳市宝安中学新高三英语暑假作业检测试题
小学一年级英语下册暑假作业题
唱过那么多次生日歌 你付过版税吗
新课标2015年高二英语暑假作业(8)
欧洲“移民危机”愈演愈烈
谁说特朗普不可能当选美国总统
嘴唇形咖啡杯设计让你边喝咖啡边接吻
万达6.5亿美元收购世界铁人公司
德国一对夫妇拾获108年前漂流瓶
研究:男性同事多不利职场女性健康
新课标2015年高二英语暑假作业(5)
美联储高官淡化9月加息预期
2015高考试题——英语暑假作业(江苏卷)解析版
俄罗斯9岁超模爆红 被誉“世界第一美少女”
马哈蒂尔呼吁人民把马来西亚总理赶下台
中国放缓危及安倍经济学
美情侣装修厨房发现“宝藏”:现金、陈年威士忌和寻宝游戏
亚洲资产管理业仍大有可为
囧研究:7cm宽最美味 完美汉堡到底啥配方
男子4x100米 中国队摘银创造亚洲历史
各国阅兵游行服装秀:光怪陆离的世界
2015上海高考英语暑假作业
2015年高三英语暑假作业练习试卷
山东省德州市跃华学校2015届高三上学期暑假作业过关测试英语试卷
经典卡通人物不为人知的十大真相(下)
王健林为何爱上铁人三项
新课标2015年高二英语暑假作业(4)
| 不限 |
| 英语教案 |
| 英语课件 |
| 英语试题 |
| 不限 |
| 不限 |
| 上册 |
| 下册 |
| 不限 |