102. The following appeared as part of a business plan created by the management of the Take Heart Fitness Center.
After opening the new swimming pool early last summer, Take Heart saw a 12 percent increase in the use of the center by members. Therefore, in order to increase the number of our members and thus our revenues, which depend on membership fees, we should continue to add new recreational facilities in subsequent years: for example, a multipurpose game room, a tennis court, and a miniature golf course. Being the only center in the area offering this range of activities would give us a competitive advantage in the health and recreation market.
Discuss how well reasoned . . . etc.
Because Take Heart Fitness Center experienced a 12 percent increase in member usage as a result of opening a new swimming pool last summer, the author recommends the addition of new recreational facilities in subsequent years as a means of increasing membership in Take Heart. The authors recommendation is problematic for several reasons.
First, and foremost, the author assumes that an increase in member usage portends an increase in membership. This assumption may hold true in some cases. However, it is unlikely to hold true in the case at hand, because it is reasonable to expect that members would visit the fitness center to inspect and try out the new swimming pool. This would account for the increase in usage. However, since the author provides no evidence that this new rate of usage was sustained, the abrupt increase in usage provides little evidence that the addition of facilities such as the pool will attract new members.
Second, the author assumes that the addition of the swimming pool was responsible for the increase in member usage. However, the only evidence for this claim is insufficient to establish the causal claim in question. While temporal precedence is one of the conditions required to establish a causal relationship between two events, by itself it is not a sufficient condition. Consequently, it is possible that the addition of the pool was unrelated to the increase in usage in the manner required by the authors argument.
Finally, the author has provided no evidence to support the contention that Take Heart will be the only center in the area to offer a wide range of activities to its members and thus have a competitive advantage in the fitness market.
In conclusion, the authors belief that adding additional recreational facilities will increase Take Hearts membership is ill-founded. To strengthen the argument the author would have to provide evidence that member usage is reliable indicator of new membership. Additionally, it would be necessary to show that the cause of the increase in usage was the opening of the new pool.
上一篇: GMAT作文高分攻略
下一篇: GMAT考试写作例文224篇连载(三十)
考研英语阅读训练之旅行的益处
Brown got up late this morning. He was going to 阅读理解答案
Li Daiyu and her cousin were on a trip 61 Canada. 阅读理解答案
每日一句之别转移话题
每日一句之稍等一会儿
As a mother As a mother, I believed my children were old enough阅读理解答案
你到底擅长什么?简单两步搞定
征战全球 支付宝拿下10大海外机场!
When I was younger, about 14, I was already ready to work完形填空答案
There once was a forest filled with happy animals. 阅读理解答案
I feel very excited at the thought that in another week 阅读理解答案
The valley known as Sleepy Hollow hides from the world 阅读理解答案
英语美文:你不了解别人的人生,不要妄断
中了这10条 说明ta并没有想和你共度一生!
美国要使用一切可行手段应对朝鲜核威胁
党报狠批美国为世界“动荡之源”
你知道吗? 优步开始在全球推出送外卖服务了!
美总统候选人辩论:川普克林顿彼此攻击人品
The number of people hiding their identity while 阅读理解答案
Teachers’ Day is, interestingly, not celebrated on the same day阅读理解答案
Choosing the right job is probably one of the most important 阅读理解答案
帮助你圆满完成独自旅行的十条小贴士
Today the car is the most popular sort of transportation阅读理解答案
俄媒爆料改革内幕 称普京计划恢复“克格勃”
Jacqueline Bouvier Kennedy Onassis was one of the most private 阅读理解答案
Mark Twain was a great writer. He was from the USA. 阅读理解答案
英语大数要怎么写
Elizabeth Blackwell was born in England in 1821, 阅读理解答案
The Harry Potter author JK Rowling has shared some rejection 阅读理解答案
商务英语作文十大万能句